Final Examination
December 11, 2002

 

Directions: do all work on the exam itself, answering the question in the space provided.  If you require extra space, use the back of the exam, indicating that you have done so.  Each problem has the indicated weight.

Name:

 

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First Part (15 point questions)

For seven of the following eight statements, indicate whether they are TRUE or FALSE and explain why.  Note: you must indicate which question you are not answering below.  If you do not make a choice, I will pick a question at random.

 

 

I am not answering question______________

 

1                 If we impose a permanently higher tax on wage income, and use the funds to provide services that people value, then there will be no impact on the hours people work.

2                 A Phillips Curve gives the relation between expected inflation and employment.

3                 The natural rate of unemployment measures the rate achieved at the peak of a business cycle.

4                 Inflation robs us all.

5                 If people would only love their children more, the trade deficit would fall.

6                 The money multiplier measures the impact of an increase in the money supply on the Y curve.

7                 The Theory of Real Business Cycles predicts that real wages will decline during a recession.  By the test of “does it fit the facts” it is inferior to the explanation based on unanticipated inflation.

8                 If we went back to the Gold Standard, and assuming we could avoid runs on banks like 1929, we would be able to ensure stable prices.

Second Part (30 point questions)

1                 Suppose that the Federal Reserve System engaged in a $100 Billion Open Market Operation.  

a)     Explain what an Open Market Operation is and how the Fed would carry it out.

b)      Assuming the Quantity Theory of Money works without qualification, explain what the impact of the Open Market Operation would be on the price level.  (You might also want to define the Quantity Theory of Money in your answer).

c)      Trace through any implications of the Open Market Operation on the level of investment.

2                 GREEN is currently enjoying a period of relative stability.   For a number of years, the unemployment rate has been relatively constant at 6%, and the inflation rate has been steady at about 3%.   As a result of an election, a new administration is taking power.  Their election was an upset, with the possible exception of the party leader, no one saw it coming.  The new party believes that the high level of GDP is responsible for significant environmental degradation.  Accordingly, they have mandated a new 25 hour work week. With people working less, they figure a lower level of output and hence less environmental damage.  The new administration plans no other changes.  In particular, they have pledged no impact on monetary policy.  (While a cynic might assume that people will find a way around the new legislation, you should assume the new administration will be able to make the new work week stick.)

a)     Show what effects you expect this policy change to have on GREEN’s inflation rate, interest rate and unemployment in the current year.

Note: it is not enough to guess the right answers: you must explain why these are the correct answers.

b)     Show what effects you expect this policy change to have on GREEN’s inflation rate, interest rate and unemployment in the long run.

Note: it is not enough to guess the right answers: you must explain why these are the correct answers.

Third Part (35 points)

I have attached a news column from the December 6, 2002 web page of CNN.   Comment critically.  Show you can apply what you have learned in this course. 

·        Is this tax cut a good idea? 

·        Assuming that it is adopted, what would be its likely impact on key economic variables? 

·        Do you agree or disagree with the analysis in this article.  Why or why not?

 

Some suggestions:

·        Do not comment on Messrs O’Neill, Lindsey, and Harvey Pitt.  Forget personalities. 

·        Do not get into the discussion of gold.

·        Remember, this is a chance to show you can apply the analysis you learned in this course.  I would expect to see graphs and words like “Demand for Loans” and “Y and M curves” dripping from your answers.